Under a “Liberalised Pricing and Accelerated National Covid-19 Vaccination Strategy (LPANCVS)”, Covid-19”announced on April 19, 2021 to be implemented from May 1, 2021, Modi – Government plans to vaccinate all persons above 18 years age.
Until hitherto, the vaccination drive (launched in January, 2021) covered healthcare workers, frontline workers and people above the 45 years of age. Vaccine manufacturers were making all their supplies to the Government of India (GOI) charging Rs 150 per dose even as the latter was arranging for inoculation of the eligible persons free at Government vaccination centers (GVCs); however, those opting to get vaccinated at private hospitals needed to pay Rs 250 per dose. GOI incurred subsidy on vaccination done at GVCs equal to Rs 150 per dose plus the cost of administering it. It was funded from the Union Budget.
Even as the above arrangement involved differential pricing viz. (i) free for those who got vaccinated at GVCs and (ii) others getting the jab at private hospital for a price, the proposed system from May 1 is much more complex. Under it, of its total supply, the vaccine manufacturer would give 50% to GOI @Rs 150/- per dose and make the remaining 50% available to State governments, private hospitals, industrial establishments at a price to be declared in advance (the price charged for vaccination by private hospitals would be monitored). People can make an ‘informed’ choice at the time of booking an appointment at a private vaccination centre. The vaccines will not be available for sale at pharmacists or chemist shops in the open market.
The present system of private hospitals inoculating eligible persons (read: those above 45 years) for Rs 250 per dose will cease to exist as they will no longer be getting any supplies from the GOI quota (albeit @Rs 150/-) and will have to procure directly from vaccine manufacturers at the price notified by the latter.
Meanwhile, the manufacturers have announced prices they intend to charge from the state governments and private hospitals. Serum Institute of India (SII) – maker of Covishield – will charge Rs 300 per dose on supplies to states (down from Rs 400/- per dose it had initially announced) and Rs 600 per dose from private hospitals. Bharat Biotech – maker of Covaxin – will charge Rs 400 per dose from States (down from Rs 600/- initially notified) and Rs 1200/- per dose on supplies to private hospitals. Both will continue to supply to GOI @ Rs 150 per dose (this is as per a statement issued by Dr Harsh Vardhan, Union Minister for Health & Family Welfare).
Putting all pieces together, there will be a minimum of five prices for the Covid -19 vaccination dose viz. zero, Rs 300/-, Rs 400/-, Rs 600/-, Rs 1200/- (the cost to the recipients will be higher by an amount equal to the ‘service charge’ levied by the state governments/private hospitals to cover the cost of administering the vaccine) depending on the vaccine type and the channel through which it is done. Meanwhile, more vaccines viz. sputnik, Nasal Covaxin etc are expected to get approval shortly; those are likely to be priced even higher.
The earlier arrangement was far from optimal as it entailed differential treatment of eligible persons depending on the place they got the jab. While, those going to GVCs got it free, others opting for private hospitals paid Rs 250/- per dose. Even as involvement of private hospitals was justified in view of the need to cover a large number (there are 300 million in the 45 plus group) within a short time frame, putting a price tag to it and that too Rs 100/- over and above the price they paid to manufacturers militated against this objective. Indeed, this was a potent factor behind dismal results thus far with only about 20 million in a total of 300 million having got both the shots (even as other factors such as the initial reluctance amongst the public at large as also supply constraints were equally responsible).
Under the new regime, even as the facility of getting jab for Rs 250/- per dose at private hospitals for persons in the 45 years plus category has been withdrawn, the central Government wants over 500 million persons (50% of about one billion of adult population i.e. >18 years whom it expects to get jabs from states and private hospitals quota) to pay a price high enough to destabilize the budget of even a middle income family. Consider the following two scenario:-
First, let’s take the lowest in the price spectrum i.e. Covishield – supplied for Rs 300 per dose to states. Add service charge of Rs 200 per dose (67% of the price; this is the mark up applied to Rs 150 per dose being the price billed to private hospitals under the erstwhile dispensation), the recipient will pay Rs 500 per dose. For two doses, this comes to Rs 1000/-. A family of 4 will have to shell out Rs 4000/-. At another extreme, consider Covaxin supplied for Rs 1200/- per dose to private hospitals. Plus service charge, the recipient will pay Rs 2000/- per dose. For two doses, this will be Rs 4000/-. In this case, the dent on this family’s budget will be Rs 16,000/-.
Given the high prices at state centers and much higher at private hospitals and considering that vaccination from the GOI quota (50% of total supply) is for free, people will tend to gravitate towards the latter. The clamor for getting vaccinated at GVCs will be so pronounced as to cause a complete break-down of this network. This could be averted if only the state governments decide to do free inoculation even out of the paid quota; however, this will require them to give heavy subsidy from the state budget.
Already, some states Maharashtra, Delhi etc have announced their intent to give it all free and others are likely to follow suit. If, it has to be free for all involving subsidization by the Centre or states then why go through such a cumbersome route?
Considering that the crisis is of an unprecedented magnitude (once in a life time) afflicting the entire population, dire need for vaccinating at least one billion within shortest possible time frame and pitfalls of differentiated pricing, the Centre should go for inoculating everyone ‘free’. Apart from GVCs, all other stake-holders viz. state health facilities, private hospitals, industrial establishments etc should be involved in the vaccination drive. They can pick up their requirements directly from the manufacturers even as GOI does overall coordination, negotiate a good price and make payment.
Given the mammoth numbers i.e. 2 billion doses, a price of Rs 200/- per dose should be good enough to cover the cost and give good return to the manufacturers (here, it is pertinent to recall a statement by Adar Poonawalla, CEO, SII ‘the firm was making a profit even at a price of Rs 150 per dose’). The cost of purchase i.e. about Rs 40,000 crore can be met from the allocation of Rs 35,000 crore made in the Union Budget for 2021-22 (an additional Rs 5000 crore would be needed to make up for deficit). As for the ‘service charge’ for vaccination, this cost may be paid by states from their budget.