Of crucial importance is the need to actually execute reforms and make them work on ground zero. Unfortunately, this is not happening Unlike the Economic Survey for 2019-20, which was prepared keeping in mind the ambitious target of achieving a $5 trillion economy by 2024-25, this time around, the overarching theme revolves around demonstrating how brilliantly the Government has managed the Coronavirus pandemic. Through lucid elaboration on the details and modeling with facts and figures — using international as well as inter-State comparison within India, Chief Economic Adviser (CEA) Krishnamurthy Subramanian has given ample justification for the “early” and “stringent” lockdown from March and thereafter calibrated lifting of restrictions from June onward. Tacitly, he has also admitted that this led to compression...
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Category: Fiscal deficit/subsidies
Many a slip…
It is natural to expect an economic rebound in FY 2021-22. But it is vital to take a pragmatic view based on an objective assessment of how the situation unfolds on ground zero The green shoots seen in October, in particular the rise in the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) by 3.6 per cent, have prompted agencies to revise their growth assessment for the current financial year (FY) from the minus 9.5-10.5 per cent projected earlier to minus 7.5-8.5 per cent, now. For the FY 2021-22, when the impact of the virus is expected to subside to a large extent due to the availability of the vaccine, it is only natural to expect an economic rebound. However, it is necessary...
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Don’t squeeze PSUs
The Govt should collect money from all those who owe it instead of squeezing CPSEs for bridging fiscal gaps. This is neither healthy for the economy nor good for the enterprises The Department of Investment and Public Asset Management (Dipam) has come out with a circular requiring Central Public Sector Enterprises (CPSEs) to pay interim dividend every quarter or half-yearly, depending on whether it is a relatively higher dividend (100 per cent or Rs 10 on a share of Rs 10) or less. Even those which can’t pay the prescribed “minimum” must give an interim dividend. Further, at least 90 per cent of the projected annual dividend should be paid as interim. Even as the bureaucrats justify this in terms...
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Don’t squeeze PSUs for fiscal gains
Vide a letter addressed to the central public sector enterprises (CPSEs) the department of investment and public asset management (Dipam) under Ministry of Finance has asked (i) enterprises which pay relatively higher dividend (100% or Rs 10/- on a share of Rs 10/-) may consider paying interim dividend every quarter after declaration of quarterly results; (ii) enterprises which pay less than 100% may consider paying interim dividend usually on half-yearly basis; (iii) those which can’t pay as per the prescribed ‘minimum’ should pay interim dividend during October/November each year based on projected profit after tax (PAT) following second quarter (July – September) results. All CPSEs should consider paying at least 90% of projected annual dividend, in one or more installments, as...
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Stay within limits
If the FD range gets embedded in the FRBM Act, it will give sanction to slippages. It will defeat the purpose of fixing a target, which is to obligate the Govt to keep expenses in check The Finance Ministry is building pressure on the 15th Finance Commission (15th FC) to allow greater flexibility while fixing the fiscal deficit (FD). It wants to adopt a flexible, range-bound FD target instead of a fixed number. With this aim in mind, the Modi Government is reviewing the Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management (FRBM) Act. The issue was discussed at the Economic Advisory Council (EAC) of the 15th FC, wherein the chairman, NK Singh, cited a similar practice followed by the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI)...
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Fiscal deficit – Shun range-bound target
Modi – government is reviewing the Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management (FRBM) Act in the light of the economic crisis caused by the Covid-19 pandemic and adopt a flexible, range-bound fiscal deficit (FD) target instead of a fixed number. The issue was discussed at the Economic Advisory Council (EAC) of the 15th Finance Commission (XVFC) on September 4, 2020, wherein the chairman, NK Singh cited similar practice followed by the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) with +/- 2% inflation target while deciding its monetary policy. The immediate prompt for this is sharp contraction in GDP (gross domestic product) by about 24% in the first quarter of current financial year and corresponding steep reduction in tax collections even as the expenditure...
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A taxing question
As pointed out by the nation’s top auditor, there are irregularities galore in the management of the various cesses as they have been appropriated to manage deficits Reining in the fiscal deficit has always been a challenge for the Centre especially after the enactment of the Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management (FRBM) Act, 2003, which requires it to maintain the shortfall within a specified threshold. At the same time, there are certain thrust areas, such as education, roads and other infrastructure, telecommunication networks in rural areas, exploration of oil, gas and so on, which the Government feels won’t get the desired funds in the normal course of budgeting. This led to successive dispensations to think of a special tax or...
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Cess – anathema in Indian taxation
Reining in the fiscal deficit (excess of total expenditure over total revenue) has always been a challenge for the union government especially after the enactment of the Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management (FRBM) Act, 2003 which requires it to maintain the deficit within a specified threshold. At the same time, there are certain thrust areas such as education, roads and other infrastructure, telecommunication network in rural areas, exploration of oil and gas etc which mandarins in the finance ministry felt won’t get the desired funds in the normal course of budgeting and deciding allocation. This led them to innovate special taxes such as USO (Universal Service Obligation) levy imposed on telecom service providers, Cess on Crude Petroleum Oil (CPO), Road...
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Banking on banks for bail-out
On March 27, 2020, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) governor, Shaktikanta Das announced a comprehensive action plan to resuscitate the economy devastated by the Corona virus. Apart from measures to increase availability of credit and reduction in the cost of capital, the plan sought to ease the stress of loan repayments on businesses and individuals. Amongst others, this included 3-month moratorium on payment of installments in respect of all term loans outstanding on March 31, 2020. On May 22, 2020, Das announced extension of the moratorium for three months till August 31, 2020. To ease the burden of payment on those who availed of working capital facilities, the governor allowed them to convert accumulated interest for the deferment period...
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Scrap priority sector lending
Faced with contraction in GDP (gross domestic product) growth by a whopping 23.9% and credit growth at a low of 6.7% during the first quarter of current financial year (FY), on September 4, 2020, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has brought about changes in the norms for priority sector lending (PSL). The commercial banks, including foreign banks, are required to mandatorily earmark 40% of the adjusted net bank credit for PSL. Regional rural banks (RRBs) and small finance banks (SFBs) are required to allocate 75% of adjusted net bank credit (ANBC) to PSL. Within the over 40% limit for PSL, there are sub-limits; for instance, agriculture gets 18% of the ANBC. Although, PSL guidelines do not lay down any...
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