During 2014-15, Coal India Limited (CIL) – a public sector undertaking (PSU) – had produced 494 million tons (MT). This was a record 32 MT higher than during 2013-14 and higher than a cumulative increase of 31 MT in the previous 4 years. In 2015, this prompted Modi to set a target of 1500 MT for 2019-20. Of this, 1000 MT was to come from CIL and remaining 500 MT from private firms. During 2019-20, India produced around 730 MT with CIL contributing 685 MT. Forget the target, the production fell much short of the demand leading to 300 MT import in that year. In 2020-21, domestic output declined to 716 MT courtesy, Covid. During the current year, even as...
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Air India sale – better late than never
On June 28, 2017, the then Finance Minister, Arun Jaitely had announced the ‘in-principle’ decision of the Union Cabinet for strategic divestment of Air India (AI) and five of its subsidiaries. Over 50 months thereafter, on September 8, 2021, the Government has informed about it decision to privatize AI and its 100 percent subsidiary namely Air India Express Limited (AIEL) and its 51 percent share in Air India Air Transport Services Limited (AIATSL). The iconic Maharaja – as the airlines is nicknamed – has gone back to the hangar of Tata Group almost 68 years after the company was nationalized in 1953. The AI privatization saga reveals four major pitfalls. First, the move has been half hearted from the day one. This...
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Why Modi doesn’t repeal farm laws
Even as Modi has demonstrated resilience while navigating other reform measures, on the three farm laws, he has refused to budge despite nearly 10 month long protest by farmers demanding their repeal. Here are the prime reasons. Let us start by referring to the results of a recent exercise termed “Situation Assessment of Agricultural Households and Land and Livestock Holdings of Households in Rural India” or in short SAS released by the National Statistical Office (NSO) covering the period July 2018 to June 2019. It reveals widespread dissatisfaction among farmers with the price realized from sale of their produce; it varies depending on the commodity. The shares of farmers dissatisfied are cereals: 25%; fruits: 28%; pulses: 32%; oilseeds: 35%; vegetables:...
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Defending public stockholding program at WTO
In the run up to the 12th WTO (World Trade Organization) Ministerial Conference (MC-12) scheduled to be held from November 29, 2021, India has made two submissions; first, subsidies given for maintaining food security programs of developing countries should be allowed without any limit and second, member countries who give trade distorting farm subsidies in excess of US$ 10 billion should eliminate them within three years. India runs a mammoth program of Public Stockholding (PSH) for food security purposes. Under it, agencies of the Government like the Food Corporation of India (FCI) buy agri-produce such as wheat, rice/paddy, coarse cereals etc from farmers at the minimum support price (MSP) and distribute at a heavily subsidized price of Rs 1/2/3 per kg through...
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Banks bail out – make it transparent
In the Union Budget for 2021-22, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman had proposed setting up of a bad bank. Crafted as National Asset Reconstruction Company Limited (NARCL), it will bundle up all the non-performing assets (NPAs) of banks and sell them to investors such as private equity funds, alternative investment funds (AIFs) and so on, by putting a turnaround plan in place. On September 16, 2021, she announced the broad contours of the action plan. Under it, the NARCL will purchase NPAs from banks under 15:85 structure, wherein it will pay up to 15% of the agreed/discounted value of the loans in cash and issue Security Receipts (SRs) for the rest. The Government will provide sovereign guarantee – valid for a...
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Asset monetization – will it take off
In her maiden budget presented to Parliament on July 5, 2019, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman laid a roadmap for catapulting the Indian economy to $5 trillion by 2024-25, its most crucial component being investment in infrastructure to the tune of a mammoth Rs 100,00,000 crore (US$1.4 trillion) over a period of five years (read: 2020-21 to 2024-25). As for funding, 39% of this amount was to come from the Union Government and States each and the balance 22% from the private sector. The Centre’s contribution at 39% works out to around Rs 40,00,000 crore over 5 years or Rs 800,000 crore per annum. Against this, the revised estimate (RE) for capital expenditure during 2020-21 was Rs 439,000 crore. Even assuming...
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Urea subsidy regime – time to reform
Come October 1, 2021, the price of natural gas (NG) on supplies from fields given to Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC) and Oil India Ltd (OIL) on nomination basis as well as those given under given under the New Exploration and Licensing Policy or NELP will increase from the current US$ 1.79 per million British thermal unit (mBtu) to US$ 3.15 per mBtu – up by US$ 1.4 per mBtu. From November 1, 2014, this price – known as administered price (APM) – is a weighted average of the price prevailing at four global locations viz. UK, US, Russia and Canada. The price is revised every six months. Going by the emerging trend, the APM gas price is likely to...
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Telecom industry – shun duopoly
In a letter addressed to the department of telecommunication (DoT), the telecom operators including the three major players viz. Airtel, Vodafone Idea or Vi and Reliance Jio have submitted a charter of demands. These include:- (i) reduce the license fee from 3% of adjusted gross revenue (AGR) to 1%, USOF (Universal Service Obligation Fund) contribution from 5% of AGR to 1%, spectrum usage charge (SUC) from 3-6% (depending on when the operator acquired spectrum in respective bands) to a uniform 3% for all operators; (ii) extend the tenure of leased spectrum to operators from 20 years to 40 years; (iii) moratorium of 7-10 years for payments (in addition to 2 years already given); (iv) reduce interest rate on all outstanding...
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Fuels under GST – unthinkable
In a recent discussion on transition of energy products into the Goods and Services Tax (GST) with economists and industry experts, NITI Aayog has proposed a formula for bringing two motor fuels viz. petrol and diesel besides electricity under the new regime. Under it, the Centre could keep the two fuels in the highest slab of 28% and electricity in the 18% slab. To compensate states for the loss of revenue resulting from the shift to the GST dispensation – fully in case of electricity and partially for petrol and diesel – the think-tank has proposed levying a cess @50%. To understand the formula, and its implications, at the outset, it is important to place a few basic facts. First,...
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Self – reliance in gas – way forward
Delivering the 75th Independence Day (ID) address on August 15, 2021, Prime Minister, Narendra Modi set the country a target of 2047 – to achieve self-reliance in energy production through a mix of electric mobility, gas-based economy and making the country a hub for hydrogen production. While, electric mobility and hydrogen are futuristic areas, as regards gas-based economy, pursuit of this goal will involve increase in gas consumption to (i) meet additional energy needs for sustaining high growth and (ii) replacing polluting fuels such as coal, fuel oil etc. This could result in further increasing dependence on gas import which is already high at 50%. To prevent this and put India on the path of self-reliance, there is need for a...
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